40 in 40: Trevor Williams

  • Position: Starting Pitcher

  • Current Status: MLB

  • How Acquired: Signed a 2-year, $13 million deal with the Nationals in 2023 Free Agency

  • 2023 Grade: F

  • 2024 Opening Day Projection: MLB Back of Rotation Starter

  • 2023 Stats: W-L: 6-10, 5.55 ERA, 144.1 IP, 1.60 WHIP, -0.1 fWAR, -0.1 bWARSubscribe now

2023 Analysis:

Williams’s Pitch Mix via MLB.com and BaseballSavant

In his return to the starting rotation for the first time since 2020, Trevor Williams had an abysmal season.  He allowed a career-high 34 home runs, putting him at the 4th most given up in the entire major leagues.  He was also in the bottom 10% of the league in most advanced pitching metrics including xERA, xBA, xSLG, wOBA, and xwOBA.  It is safe to say it was a disaster of a season for Williams as he looks to bounce back in 2024.

2024 Outlook:

Looking ahead to 2024, Trevor Williams is fighting to stay in the starting rotation, along with Patrick Corbin, Jackson Rutledge, Cade Cavalli, and Joan Adon.  With such a crowd at the bottom of the rotation, Williams needs to prove that 2023 was just a fluke and return to form quickly.  If he can’t, we could see Williams transition back into a long reliever or an opener-type role for the Nationals he had been doing in the 3 years before joining the Nats.

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