2024 MLB Draft Order & Lottery Odds
With the conclusion of the 2023 regular season and postseason, we now know the complete picture for this year’s draft lottery odds, which determines the order of the 2024 MLB Draft.
Well, now that the 2023 regular season and postseason are officially over, with the Texas Rangers winning the World Series, it’s never too early to start thinking about the 2024 draft. Wait!! What??
Yeah, seriously. With December 5th coming (when the lottery will take place at the Winter Meetings in Nashville, Tenn), let’s take a quick look at the odds for 17 of the 18 non-playoff teams eligible for the lottery.
The Washington Nationals’ are ineligible for this year’s lottery because teams that are “payor clubs” -- clubs that give, rather than receive, revenue-sharing dollars -- are not allowed to be selected in consecutive lotteries according to the newest CBA.
Additionally, the Washington Nationals will not receive better than the 10th overall pick due to the fact that they picked No. 2 in the 2023 MLB Draft: Dylan Crews. The Nationals would only select lower than that if all four clubs that finished with a worse record are not selected in the lottery, and the chances of that are less than .03%.
Listed below in order of odds, according to MLB.com
18.3% -- Athletics
18.3% -- Royals
18.3% -- Rockies
14.7%-- White Sox
8.3% -- Cardinals
6.1% -- Angels
4.3% -- Mets
3.0% -- Pirates
2.0% -- Guardians
1.6% -- Tigers
1.2% -- Red Sox
1.0% -- Giants
0.9% -- Reds
0.7%-- Padres
0.6% -- Yankees
0.4% -- Cubs
0.2% -- Mariners
Here’s the remaining order.
19. Miami Marlins
20. Milwaukee Brewers
21. Tampa Bay Rays
22. Toronto Blue Jays
23. Minnesota Twins
24. Baltimore Orioles
25. Los Angeles Dodgers
26. Atlanta Braves
27. Philadelphia Phillies
28. Houston Astros
29. Arizona Diamondbacks
30. Texas Rangers
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